The 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet
Read OriginalThe article details a friendly $10,000 charity wager between the author and John Carmack. The bet is on whether SAE Level 5 fully autonomous self-driving cars, requiring zero human interaction, will be commercially available for passenger use in major US cities by January 1, 2030. The author explains why they are betting against this timeline, citing the underestimated difficulty of the problem, while framing it as a fascinating computer science challenge.
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