Dan Luu • 9/12/2022

Futurist prediction methods and accuracy

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This article investigates the accuracy of long-term futurist predictions by evaluating the track records of well-known futurists. It contrasts the poor methods of 'big idea' thinkers with the successful techniques of forecasters who possess deep subject knowledge and learn from past errors, aligning with findings from works like 'Superforecasting'.

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#data analysis #prediction models #forecasting
Futurist prediction methods and accuracy

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